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February Commentary

UK MARKETS

Weak performance as a result of inflation data

The UK market saw negative returns on the back of December Core CPI inflation (+5.1%) coming in way ahead of expectations, dampening any hopes for interest rate cuts from the Bank of England. This sapped some of the euphoria that we saw the previous month, particularly in the more interest rate sensitive sectors. Mining, oil, and banks all underperformed a weak overall UK market, as global sector sentiment (positive technology, negative global cyclicals) proved an additional headwind. Miners were particularly weak as investors reacted to negative news from China, and on electric vehicle sales.

Down -1.4% (UK All Share)

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January Commentary

UK MARKETS

Strong energy stock performance could not curtail overall weak results

In spite of surging natural gas and gold prices contributing to strong performances from energy-related stocks, which the UK has a meaningful exposure to, the UK markets declined overall. In terms of exposure, largecap stocks outperformed small-cap stocks, and growth stocks outperformed value ones. With the overall financial ‘health’ of the UK consumer remaining a concern on the back of a drop in consumer confidence and house price worries, gilts continued to sell-off and most sectors, including the banks, delivered weak performance.

Down -4.2% (UK All Share)

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November Commentary

UK MARKETS

Strong energy stock performance could not curtail overall weak results

In spite of surging natural gas and gold prices contributing to strong performances from energy-related stocks, which the UK has a meaningful exposure to, the UK markets declined overall. In terms of exposure, largecap stocks outperformed small-cap stocks, and growth stocks outperformed value ones. With the overall financial ‘health’ of the UK consumer remaining a concern on the back of a drop in consumer confidence and house price worries, gilts continued to sell-off and most sectors, including the banks, delivered weak performance.

Down -4.2% (UK All Share)

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October Commentary

UK MARKETS

Solid performance on the back of large cap selections and higher oil prices

UK equities performed well in sterling terms, owing to the macroeconomic backdrop; dollar feed-through on larger cap selections and higher oil prices being the key drivers of index performance. The underlying benefit to energy companies saw BP and Shell, up circa 8%, lead the market. Natural Resources and Financials fared well too, all boosting the FTSE 100. The mid-cap FTSE 250, which has more domestic earnings, was modestly lower, while small-cap stocks had a stronger second half of the month, boosted by the better inflation data. Index Linked Gilts lagged, as inflation data surprised to the downside.

Up 1.7% (UK All Share)

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September Commentary

UK MARKETS

Weak first half followed by a late month rally

UK equities mirrored global trends, with a weak first half followed by a late month-end rally. However, returns lagged other developed markets. Unlike the US, there was little difference in performance across the market cap spectrum. Despite better inflation data in the previous month, August showed more modest progress. That, and concerns over the scale of future gilt issuance levels, as well as a continued hawkish tone from the Bank of England, saw short term Gilt yields move higher, with 2yr Gilt yields moving up from 4.99% to 5.16%.

Down -3.3% (UK All Share)

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